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The "One Question" Test for Any Stock
Stock investing boiled down to one simple question
Dear reader,
Investing can feel overwhelming. Every time you consider buying a stock, you're bombarded with data - P/E ratios, cash flow projections, earnings reports, analyst ratings, and economic indicators. It’s easy to get lost in the noise.
But what if I told you there was a way to cut through the complexity with just one simple question?
Next time you’re evaluating a stock, ask yourself this:
"If this company disappeared tomorrow, who would care?"
It sounds almost too simple, right? But this one question forces you to think about what really matters: a company’s competitive edge and the demand for what it provides.
Why This Question Works So Good
When a company has true staying power, it means its customers, suppliers, employees, and even competitors need it. They don’t just want it - they rely on it. And that’s the foundation of a great investment.
Let’s run this test with a few real-world examples:
Apple : If Apple vanished tomorrow, millions of iPhone users wouldn’t just be sad; they’d be scrambling to figure out their next move. The entire app economy would shift, accessory makers would take a hit, and competitors would rush to fill the vacuum. Apple’s ecosystem makes it nearly irreplaceable.
Visa : Imagine Visa disappears overnight. The entire global payments infrastructure would be thrown into chaos. Merchants, banks, and consumers worldwide would be scrambling for alternatives. Visa isn’t just a company - it’s a backbone of global commerce.
Coca-Cola : If Coke ceased to exist, people would miss their favorite soda, but let’s be real - Pepsi and other soft drinks would quickly take its place. This is why Coke’s brand loyalty is important, but it’s not necessarily an irreplaceable business.
See the difference? The companies that truly pass this test aren’t just popular - they are essential.
Companies That Fail the Test
Now, let’s flip it. What about companies where the disappearance question doesn’t spark much urgency?
Peloton : If Peloton disappeared, fitness enthusiasts would move to other at-home workout options like Apple Fitness+, Zwift, or a regular gym. The product is great, but the brand isn’t a necessity.
Snapchat : If Snapchat shut down, its user base would migrate to Instagram or TikTok within days. Advertisers would do the same. It’s a nice-to-have, not a must-have.
Beyond Meat : People would still eat plant-based burgers - just from a different brand. Beyond Meat fills a market demand, but it hasn’t built a deep enough moat to make its absence a crisis.
None of these are bad businesses. But from an investing perspective, they lack the kind of stickiness that creates long-term dominance.
The Moat in Disguise
Some of the best companies don’t just survive this test - they reveal hidden competitive advantages.
For example, take Microsoft . If it disappeared, businesses worldwide would be in chaos. No Word, no Excel, no Outlook, no Teams - entire workflows would collapse. It’s not just a tech company; it’s an operating system for business.
Or Costco . You might think, “It’s just a retailer, people would shop elsewhere.” But consider this: Costco’s entire business model is based on its membership-driven pricing power. If it disappeared, millions of customers and small businesses would lose their access to bulk discounts and unbeatable deals. The pain would be real.
Putting It Into Practice
Next time you're researching a stock, take a step back from the spreadsheets and earnings calls. Ask yourself:
Who would be hurt if this company disappeared?
Would competitors easily fill the void, or does this business have something truly irreplaceable?
Does it power an industry, control an ecosystem, or own a vital piece of infrastructure?
If the answer is unclear - or worse, “Not many people would care” - you may be looking at a weak investment. But if the disappearance would cause real disruption, you might have found a winner.
Great investing doesn’t have to be complicated. Sometimes, the simplest question is the most powerful one.
Until the next issue 🥂
Want to Invest in Companies That Truly Matter?
If a company disappeared tomorrow, who would care?
That single question separates the great businesses from the forgettable ones. The companies that pass this test aren’t just successful - they are essential. They are the ones customers, businesses, and entire industries rely on.
I’ve done the deep research for you.
I’ve analyzed two companies (Report 1 + 4) that are so critical to the economy that their disappearance would send shockwaves through their industries. These aren’t just "good" stocks - they are the backbone of their sectors, with built-in demand, pricing power, and an undeniable moat.
These aren’t hype stocks. They aren’t fads. They are companies that the world cannot afford to lose.
Ready to discover them? Get instant access now:
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Disclaimer: This analysis is not advice to buy or sell this or any stock; it is just pointing out an objective observation of unique patterns that developed from my research. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities or to give individual investment advice.
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